Main
Middleweight
Robert Whittaker vs Ikram Aliskerov
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov
·Kingdom Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Robert Whittaker
Ikram Aliskerov
59%
41%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 2"
76"
34
Age
Δ 2y
32
28-9
Career record
Δ 14 pp
18-2
W1
Current streak
W2
21
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Whittaker: 14 sig / 0 TD ·
Aliskerov: 5 sig / 0 TD
Robert Whittaker
Ikram Aliskerov
51
Sig strikes landed
56
153
Sig strikes attempted
116
51
Total strikes landed
51
0.4
Takedowns landed
0.4
2.8
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.50
65s
Control time
24s
Method
Decision
51%
KO/TKO
42%
Submission
6%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Robert Whittaker
"The Reaper"
28-9
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
21 fights · 16-5
Last 5
W
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria
—
L
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodrig…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuiva…
—
L
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—
Blue corner
W2
Ikram Aliskerov
18-2
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
76"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanov…
—
W
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo
—