Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Austin Hubbard
Michal Figlak
56%
44%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 1"
70"
32
Age
Δ 5y
28
17-11
Career record
Δ 12 pp
8-3
L2
Current streak
L1
8
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Hubbard: 88 sig / 3 TD ·
Figlak: 92 sig / 0 TD
Austin Hubbard
Michal Figlak
47
Sig strikes landed
31
92
Sig strikes attempted
84
67
Total strikes landed
45
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.3
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
170s
Control time
136s
Method
Decision
65%
KO/TKO
21%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Austin Hubbard
"Thud"
17-11
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
8 fights · 3-5
Last 5
L
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edg…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Vo…
—
Blue corner
L1
Michal Figlak
"Mad Dog"
8-3
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuiva…
—