Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Tim Means
Uros Medic
58%
42%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 4"
71"
40
Age
Δ 9y
31
34-17-1
Career record
Δ 11 pp
13-4
W1
Current streak
L1
28
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Means: 7 sig / 0 TD ·
Medic: 7 sig / 0 TD
Tim Means
Uros Medic
47
Sig strikes landed
55
99
Sig strikes attempted
108
68
Total strikes landed
59
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.5
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.40
Knockdowns
0.30
79s
Control time
114s
Method
Decision
21%
KO/TKO
62%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Tim Means
"The Dirty Bird"
34-17-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
40
In our database
28 fights · 15-12
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gam…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. All…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emm…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov
—
Blue corner
L1
Uros Medic
"The Doctor"
13-4
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig
—
W
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira
—
L
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega
—
W
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya
—