Main
Women's Flyweight
Amanda Ribas vs Rose Namajunas
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Amanda Ribas
Rose Namajunas
58%
42%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 1"
65"
31
Age
Δ 1y
32
14-7
Career record
Δ 4 pp
15-9
W1
Current streak
L2
10
UFC fights in our DB
14
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 5
Ribas: 83 sig / 4 TD ·
Namajunas: 93 sig / 1 TD
Amanda Ribas
Rose Namajunas
68
Sig strikes landed
68
156
Sig strikes attempted
150
85
Total strikes landed
90
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.9
4.3
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.00
Knockdowns
0.10
184s
Control time
135s
Method
Decision
70%
KO/TKO
19%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Amanda Ribas
14-7
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
10 fights · 7-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Top…
—
W
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—
W
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira
—
Blue corner
L2
Rose Namajunas
"Thug"
15-9
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
14 fights · 9-5
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac
—
L
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje
—
W
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2
—
W
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2
—
W
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal
—