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Prelims1 Bantamweight

Charalampos Grigoriou vs Chad Anheliger

Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Charalampos Grigoriou
Chad Anheliger
62% 38%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 3"
64"
32
Age
Δ 5y
37
Current streak
L2
0
UFC fights in our DB
3

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Grigoriou: 21 sig / 4 TD · Anheliger: 85 sig / 0 TD
Charalampos Grigoriou
Chad Anheliger
46
Sig strikes landed
38
96
Sig strikes attempted
98
50
Total strikes landed
56
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.5
1.8
Takedowns attempted
3.5
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
75s
Control time
188s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
17%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Charalampos Grigoriou

"Ferocious"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
Blue corner
L2

Chad Anheliger

"The Monster"
13-9
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database 3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig
L UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson
W UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill