Prelims1
Women's Bantamweight
Melissa Mullins vs Nora Cornolle
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Melissa Mullins
Nora Cornolle
66%
34%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 1"
67"
33
Age
Δ 2y
34
8-2
Career record
Δ 9 pp
10-4
W1
Current streak
W1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Mullins: 11 sig / 1 TD ·
Cornolle: 36 sig / 0 TD
Melissa Mullins
Nora Cornolle
38
Sig strikes landed
44
89
Sig strikes attempted
87
63
Total strikes landed
73
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.5
3.7
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.00
Knockdowns
0.00
182s
Control time
151s
Method
Decision
75%
KO/TKO
8%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Melissa Mullins
"No Mess"
8-2
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Bar…
—
Blue corner
W1
Nora Cornolle
10-4
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac
—