Prelims2
Women's Strawweight
Jessica Andrade vs Marina Rodriguez
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill
·T-Mobile Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Jessica Andrade
Marina Rodriguez
61%
39%
Why
62"
Reach
Δ 3"
65"
33
Age
Δ 4y
37
27-15
Career record
Δ 5 pp
18-6-2
W1
Current streak
W1
26
UFC fights in our DB
12
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Andrade: 89 sig / 1 TD ·
Rodriguez: 82 sig / 0 TD
Jessica Andrade
Marina Rodriguez
73
Sig strikes landed
55
142
Sig strikes attempted
131
104
Total strikes landed
79
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.3
3.1
Takedowns attempted
1.9
1.60
Knockdowns
0.10
243s
Control time
77s
Method
Decision
67%
KO/TKO
20%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Jessica Andrade
"Bate Estaca"
27-15
Career record
Height
61"
Reach
62"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
26 fights · 16-10
Last 5
W
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
L
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Bl…
—
W
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill
—
Blue corner
W1
Marina Rodriguez
18-6-2
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database
12 fights · 7-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gam…
—
L
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—
W
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Rodri…
—