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Roman Dolidze vs Nassourdine Imavov

UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Roman Dolidze
Nassourdine Imavov
41% 59%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 1"
75"
36
Age
Δ 8y
28
15-6
Career record
Δ 10 pp
17-4
L1
Current streak
L1
8
UFC fights in our DB
7

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Majority · Round 5
Dolidze: 34 sig / 0 TD · Imavov: 112 sig / 0 TD
Roman Dolidze
Nassourdine Imavov
38
Sig strikes landed
48
87
Sig strikes attempted
82
51
Total strikes landed
69
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.7
4.0
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
131s
Control time
96s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
45%
Submission
12%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Roman Dolidze

15-6
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database 8 fights · 6-2
Last 5
L UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3
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W UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. H…
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W UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. All…
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W UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emm…
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W UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
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Blue corner
L1

Nassourdine Imavov

"The Sniper"
17-4 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 7 fights · 4-2
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs.…
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W UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuiva…
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W UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2
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W UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
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L UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Le…
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