Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Joanne Wood
Maryna Moroz
55%
45%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 2"
67"
38
Age
Δ 6y
32
18-8
Career record
Δ 8 pp
11-7
W1
Current streak
L2
16
UFC fights in our DB
11
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Wood: 136 sig / 1 TD ·
Moroz: 102 sig / 1 TD
Joanne Wood
Maryna Moroz
82
Sig strikes landed
61
150
Sig strikes attempted
162
101
Total strikes landed
82
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.9
1.6
Takedowns attempted
3.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.00
137s
Control time
130s
Method
Decision
79%
KO/TKO
12%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Joanne Wood
"JoJo"
18-8
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
38
In our database
16 fights · 8-8
Last 5
W
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Da…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate
—
L
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2
—
W
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor
—
Blue corner
L2
Maryna Moroz
"Iron Lady"
11-7
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
11 fights · 6-5
Last 5
L
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. …
—
W
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Olivei…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ga…
—