Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Bolaji Oki
Timmy Cuamba
53%
47%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 2"
71"
28
Age
Δ 3y
25
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Oki: 60 sig / 1 TD ·
Cuamba: 33 sig / 1 TD
Bolaji Oki
Timmy Cuamba
37
Sig strikes landed
37
79
Sig strikes attempted
76
53
Total strikes landed
53
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.2
2.0
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
130s
Control time
137s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Bolaji Oki
"The Zulu Warrior"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
Blue corner
Timmy Cuamba
"Twilight"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25