Back to UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer
Prelims1 Welterweight

Trevin Giles vs Carlos Prates

UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Trevin Giles
Carlos Prates
33% 67%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 4"
78"
32
Age
Δ 1y
30
L1
Current streak
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12
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Giles: 68 sig / 0 TD · Prates: 37 sig / 0 TD
Trevin Giles
Carlos Prates
34
Sig strikes landed
39
68
Sig strikes attempted
82
45
Total strikes landed
56
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.5
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
126s
Control time
123s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
39%
Submission
19%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Trevin Giles

16-8
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database 12 fights · 7-5
Last 5
L UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2
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W UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandh…
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W UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
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L UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane
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L UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3
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Blue corner

Carlos Prates

"The Nightmare"
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
78"
Stance
Switch
Age
31