Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Dan Ige
Andre Fili
50%
50%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 3"
74"
32
Age
Δ 1y
34
19-12
Career record
Δ 5 pp
26-13
L1
Current streak
W1
15
UFC fights in our DB
21
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Ige: 11 sig / 0 TD ·
Fili: 8 sig / 0 TD
Dan Ige
Andre Fili
63
Sig strikes landed
56
120
Sig strikes attempted
135
74
Total strikes landed
67
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.0
2.3
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
76s
Control time
106s
Method
Decision
67%
KO/TKO
27%
Submission
6%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Dan Ige
"100K"
19-12
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
15 fights · 9-6
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gam…
—
W
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs.…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Roz…
—
L
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier
—
Blue corner
W1
Andre Fili
"Touchy"
26-13
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
21 fights · 11-9
Last 5
W
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. T…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva
—