Back to UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2
Prelims1 Bantamweight

Farid Basharat vs Taylor Lapilus

UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Farid Basharat
Taylor Lapilus
59% 41%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 2"
73"
26
Age
Δ 5y
32
16-0
Career record
Δ 15 pp
22-4
W2
Current streak
W2
2
UFC fights in our DB
5

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Basharat: 42 sig / 5 TD · Lapilus: 40 sig / 0 TD
Farid Basharat
Taylor Lapilus
34
Sig strikes landed
39
79
Sig strikes attempted
76
86
Total strikes landed
53
3.5
Takedowns landed
0.3
6.7
Takedowns attempted
1.2
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
273s
Control time
64s
Method
Decision
68%
KO/TKO
17%
Submission
15%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W2

Farid Basharat

"Ferocious"
16-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database 2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac
—
W UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane
—
Blue corner
W2

Taylor Lapilus

"Double Impact"
22-4
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
73"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database 5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac
—
W UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. B…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gaste…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Gonzaga vs Cro…
—