Main
Light Heavyweight
Magomed Ankalaev vs Johnny Walker
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Magomed Ankalaev
Johnny Walker
74%
26%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 7"
82"
32
Age
Δ 0y
32
21-2-1
Career record
Δ 19 pp
22-10
D1
Current streak
W3
12
UFC fights in our DB
12
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Ankalaev: 39 sig / 0 TD ·
Walker: 24 sig / 0 TD
Magomed Ankalaev
Johnny Walker
41
Sig strikes landed
31
73
Sig strikes attempted
70
62
Total strikes landed
41
1.7
Takedowns landed
-0.2
4.0
Takedowns attempted
-0.1
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
231s
Control time
-8s
Method
Decision
39%
KO/TKO
44%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
D1
Magomed Ankalaev
21-2-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
12 fights · 9-1
Last 5
D
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev
—
W
UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ank…
—
W
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—
Blue corner
W3
Johnny Walker
22-10
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
78"
Reach
82"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
12 fights · 7-4
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—
W
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill
—
W
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Wal…
—