Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
JunYong Park
Andre Muniz
51%
49%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 5"
78"
33
Age
Δ 1y
34
20-7
Career record
Δ 1 pp
24-9
W4
Current streak
L2
9
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Park: 27 sig / 0 TD ·
Muniz: 14 sig / 11 TD
JunYong Park
Andre Muniz
36
Sig strikes landed
28
70
Sig strikes attempted
71
58
Total strikes landed
45
1.5
Takedowns landed
1.4
3.1
Takedowns attempted
4.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
169s
Control time
136s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
24%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W4
JunYong Park
"The Iron Turtle"
20-7
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
9 fights · 7-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spiv…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. All…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vett…
—
Blue corner
L2
Andre Muniz
"Sergipano"
24-9
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
78"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
34
In our database
7 fights · 5-2
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. T…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen
—
W
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier
—
W
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier
—
W
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler
—