Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Neil Magny
Mike Malott
60%
40%
Why
80"
Reach
Δ 7"
73"
36
Age
Δ 4y
32
31-16
Career record
Δ 17 pp
15-2-1
L1
Current streak
W3
31
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Magny: 57 sig / 1 TD ·
Malott: 45 sig / 4 TD
Neil Magny
Mike Malott
32
Sig strikes landed
34
51
Sig strikes attempted
63
48
Total strikes landed
52
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.5
2.9
Takedowns attempted
3.3
0.50
Knockdowns
0.30
119s
Control time
254s
Method
Decision
26%
KO/TKO
39%
Submission
35%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Neil Magny
"The Haitian Sensation"
31-16
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database
31 fights · 21-10
Last 5
L
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Top…
—
L
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. …
—
Blue corner
W3
Mike Malott
"Proper"
15-2-1
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen
—
W
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Ko…
—