Prelims1
Women's Flyweight
Veronica Hardy vs Jamey-Lyn Horth
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan
·Moody Center
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Veronica Hardy
Jamey-Lyn Horth
60%
40%
Why
64"
Reach
Δ 2"
66"
28
Age
Δ 6y
34
11-5-1
Career record
Δ 12 pp
10-3
W1
Current streak
W1
6
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Hardy: 43 sig / 1 TD ·
Horth: 43 sig / 1 TD
Veronica Hardy
Jamey-Lyn Horth
39
Sig strikes landed
49
79
Sig strikes attempted
97
71
Total strikes landed
73
1.7
Takedowns landed
1.2
3.9
Takedowns attempted
0.7
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
214s
Control time
134s
Method
Decision
78%
KO/TKO
11%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Veronica Hardy
11-5-1
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
64"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28
In our database
6 fights · 2-4
Last 5
W
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Olivei…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs.…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman
—
Blue corner
W1
Jamey-Lyn Horth
10-3
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon
—