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Prelims1 Light Heavyweight

Rodolfo Bellato vs Ihor Potieria

UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan ·Moody Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Toss-up Confidence: High
Rodolfo Bellato
Ihor Potieria
52% 48%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 0"
75"
28
Age
Δ 0y
28
—
Current streak
L1
0
UFC fights in our DB
3

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Bellato: 80 sig / 1 TD · Potieria: 73 sig / 0 TD
Rodolfo Bellato
Ihor Potieria
28
Sig strikes landed
30
53
Sig strikes attempted
54
43
Total strikes landed
42
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.6
2.2
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
105s
Control time
82s
Method
Decision
24%
KO/TKO
62%
Submission
14%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Rodolfo Bellato

"Trator"
0-0
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
Blue corner
L1

Ihor Potieria

"Duelist"
20-9
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28
In our database 3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
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W UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill
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L UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2
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