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Prelims1 Middleweight

Zach Reese vs Cody Brundage

UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan ·Moody Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Zach Reese
Cody Brundage
66% 34%
Why
77"
Reach
Δ 5"
72"
30
Age
Δ 0y
30
—
Current streak
W1
0
UFC fights in our DB
7

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Reese: 4 sig / 0 TD · Brundage: 9 sig / 1 TD
Zach Reese
Cody Brundage
28
Sig strikes landed
22
55
Sig strikes attempted
47
44
Total strikes landed
32
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.2
1.4
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
115s
Control time
131s
Method
Decision
30%
KO/TKO
50%
Submission
21%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Zach Reese

"Savage"
0-0
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
77"
Stance
Switch
Age
30
Blue corner
W1

Cody Brundage

13-9-1 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
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