Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Rickson Zenidim
Andre Lima
61%
39%
Why
68"
Reach
68"
25
Age
Δ 0y
25
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Zenidim: 25 sig / 0 TD ·
Lima: 61 sig / 1 TD
Rickson Zenidim
Andre Lima
36
Sig strikes landed
36
75
Sig strikes attempted
75
55
Total strikes landed
71
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.5
2.1
Takedowns attempted
3.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
143s
Control time
175s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
26%
Submission
32%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Rickson Zenidim
"The King"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
Blue corner
Andre Lima
"Mascote"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25