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Main Flyweight

Igor Severino vs Jhonata Silva

DWCS 7.7 ·Meta Apex
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Igor Severino
Jhonata Silva
70% 30%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 3"
66"
20
Age
Δ 6y
26

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Severino: 75 sig / 5 TD · Silva: 37 sig / 0 TD
Igor Severino
Jhonata Silva
38
Sig strikes landed
33
80
Sig strikes attempted
69
50
Total strikes landed
46
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.9
1.5
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
173s
Control time
138s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
31%
Submission
22%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Igor Severino

0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
20
Blue corner

Jhonata Silva

0-0
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26