Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Chad Anheliger
Jose Johnson
47%
53%
Why
64"
Reach
Δ 7"
72"
37
Age
Δ 8y
28
13-9
Career record
Δ 0 pp
16-11
L1
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 3
Anheliger: 26 sig / 4 TD ·
Johnson: 63 sig / 1 TD
Chad Anheliger
Jose Johnson
38
Sig strikes landed
46
80
Sig strikes attempted
115
55
Total strikes landed
48
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.6
3.0
Takedowns attempted
1.5
0.30
Knockdowns
0.40
140s
Control time
43s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
25%
Submission
32%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Chad Anheliger
"The Monster"
13-9
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill
—
Blue corner
L1
Jose Johnson
"Zhakwarius"
16-11
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos …
—