Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Mizuki
Hannah Goldy
78%
22%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 4"
61"
29
Age
Δ 2y
31
16-7
Career record
Δ 15 pp
6-5
L1
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Mizuki: 55 sig / 1 TD ·
Goldy: 47 sig / 1 TD
Mizuki
Hannah Goldy
62
Sig strikes landed
51
121
Sig strikes attempted
126
101
Total strikes landed
77
1.5
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.2
Takedowns attempted
3.7
0.10
Knockdowns
-0.10
238s
Control time
133s
Method
Decision
67%
KO/TKO
16%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Mizuki
16-7
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edg…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Zh…
—
Blue corner
L1
Hannah Goldy
"24K"
6-5
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
61"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
4 fights · 1-3
Last 4
L
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. As…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. …
—