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Main Light Heavyweight

Bruno Lopes vs Brendson Ribeiro

DWCS 7.5 ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Bruno Lopes
Brendson Ribeiro
60% 40%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 6"
81"
30
Age
Δ 3y
27

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Lopes: 20 sig / 0 TD · Ribeiro: 32 sig / 0 TD
Bruno Lopes
Brendson Ribeiro
34
Sig strikes landed
40
68
Sig strikes attempted
80
50
Total strikes landed
53
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.7
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
142s
Control time
104s
Method
Decision
39%
KO/TKO
48%
Submission
13%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Bruno Lopes

"The Brazilian Cowboy"
0-0
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
Blue corner

Brendson Ribeiro

"The Gorilla"
0-0
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
81"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27