Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Bolaji Oki
Dylan Salvador
70%
30%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 4"
70"
28
Age
Δ 2y
30
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Oki: 32 sig / 0 TD ·
Salvador: 12 sig / 0 TD
Bolaji Oki
Dylan Salvador
39
Sig strikes landed
33
82
Sig strikes attempted
69
58
Total strikes landed
44
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.9
1.4
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
142s
Control time
123s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Bolaji Oki
"The Zulu Warrior"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
Blue corner
Dylan Salvador
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30