Back to DWCS 7.4
Main Welterweight

Mitch Ramirez vs Carlos Prates

DWCS 7.4 ·Meta Apex
Next fight

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Mitch Ramirez
Carlos Prates
25% 75%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 7"
78"
31
Age
Δ 1y
30

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Ramirez: 23 sig / 1 TD · Prates: 30 sig / 0 TD
Mitch Ramirez
Carlos Prates
30
Sig strikes landed
42
67
Sig strikes attempted
83
39
Total strikes landed
59
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.3
2.1
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
95s
Control time
168s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
16%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Mitch Ramirez

0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
Blue corner

Carlos Prates

"The Nightmare"
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
78"
Stance
Switch
Age
30