Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Victor Dias
Kevin Borjas
55%
45%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 1"
68"
33
Age
Δ 7y
26
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Dias: 43 sig / 5 TD ·
Borjas: 87 sig / 0 TD
Victor Dias
Kevin Borjas
36
Sig strikes landed
37
74
Sig strikes attempted
76
53
Total strikes landed
54
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.1
1.9
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
154s
Control time
142s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Victor Dias
"Crazy Horse"
0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
Blue corner
Kevin Borjas
"El Gallo Negro"
0-0
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26