Prelims2
Featherweight
Dennis Buzukja vs Jamall Emmers
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira
·Madison Square Garden
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Dennis Buzukja
Jamall Emmers
41%
59%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 4"
74"
26
Age
Δ 8y
34
12-7
Career record
Δ 8 pp
22-9
L1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Buzukja: 3 sig / 0 TD ·
Emmers: 14 sig / 0 TD
Dennis Buzukja
Jamall Emmers
45
Sig strikes landed
56
120
Sig strikes attempted
116
64
Total strikes landed
86
1.2
Takedowns landed
1.6
3.7
Takedowns attempted
4.1
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
138s
Control time
192s
Method
Decision
73%
KO/TKO
16%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Dennis Buzukja
"The Great"
12-7
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Switch
Age
26
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
Blue corner
L1
Jamall Emmers
"Pretty Boy"
22-9
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
5 fights · 2-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Top…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Bl…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ch…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Sh…
—
L
UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero
—