Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Jiniushiyue
SeungGuk Choi
83%
17%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 4"
64"
23
Age
Δ 4y
27
18-4
Career record
Δ 9 pp
8-3
W1
Current streak
W3
1
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Jiniushiyue: 47 sig / 1 TD ·
Choi: 28 sig / 0 TD
Jiniushiyue
SeungGuk Choi
32
Sig strikes landed
16
66
Sig strikes attempted
39
46
Total strikes landed
26
1.7
Takedowns landed
0.9
3.2
Takedowns attempted
2.9
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
190s
Control time
111s
Method
Decision
66%
KO/TKO
13%
Submission
21%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Jiniushiyue
"Little Vajra"
18-4
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
68"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
23
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
Road to UFC 2.1 + 2.2
—
Blue corner
W3
SeungGuk Choi
8-3
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
Road to UFC 2.1 + 2.2
—
W
Road to UFC 1.5
—
W
Road to UFC 1.1
—