Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Rongzhu
Sangwook Kim
89%
11%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 1"
72"
24
Age
Δ 6y
30
29-6
Career record
Δ 5 pp
14-4
W1
Current streak
W1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Rongzhu: 132 sig / 0 TD ·
Kim: 94 sig / 2 TD
Rongzhu
Sangwook Kim
22
Sig strikes landed
18
55
Sig strikes attempted
52
26
Total strikes landed
15
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.6
0.4
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.50
Knockdowns
-0.10
81s
Control time
62s
Method
Decision
20%
KO/TKO
45%
Submission
35%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Rongzhu
29-6
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
Road to UFC 2.3 + 2.4
—
Blue corner
W1
Sangwook Kim
"Frogman"
14-4
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
Road to UFC 2.3 + 2.4
—