Back to UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie
Prelims1 Bantamweight

Toshiomi Kazama vs Garrett Armfield

UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie ·Singapore Indoor Stadium
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Toshiomi Kazama
Garrett Armfield
56% 44%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 1"
70"
26
Age
Δ 1y
27
11-6
Career record
Δ 2 pp
10-6
L1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Kazama: 15 sig / 0 TD · Armfield: 45 sig / 0 TD
Toshiomi Kazama
Garrett Armfield
34
Sig strikes landed
32
71
Sig strikes attempted
67
49
Total strikes landed
62
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.3
2.2
Takedowns attempted
3.1
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
118s
Control time
220s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
21%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Toshiomi Kazama

11-6
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spiv…
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Blue corner
L1

Garrett Armfield

10-6
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
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