Main
Heavyweight
Junior Tafa vs Parker Porter
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie
·Singapore Indoor Stadium
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Junior Tafa
Parker Porter
62%
38%
Why
75"
Reach
75"
27
Age
Δ 11y
38
7-6
Career record
Δ 9 pp
15-9
L1
Current streak
W1
1
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Tafa: 8 sig / 0 TD ·
Porter: 2 sig / 0 TD
Junior Tafa
Parker Porter
32
Sig strikes landed
40
81
Sig strikes attempted
70
44
Total strikes landed
61
0.5
Takedowns landed
0.9
0.9
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
74s
Control time
156s
Method
Decision
38%
KO/TKO
54%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Junior Tafa
"The Juggernaut"
7-6
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. …
—
Blue corner
W1
Parker Porter
15-9
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
38
In our database
7 fights · 4-3
Last 5
W
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo
—
L
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanov…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—