Prelims1
Bantamweight
Kyler Phillips vs Raoni Barcelos
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font
·Bridgestone Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Kyler Phillips
Raoni Barcelos
48%
52%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 5"
67"
28
Age
Δ 8y
36
13-5
Career record
Δ 6 pp
22-6
W1
Current streak
L1
5
UFC fights in our DB
9
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Phillips: 72 sig / 1 TD ·
Barcelos: 46 sig / 3 TD
Kyler Phillips
Raoni Barcelos
57
Sig strikes landed
62
126
Sig strikes attempted
117
74
Total strikes landed
84
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.5
3.6
Takedowns attempted
5.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
96s
Control time
129s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
42%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Kyler Phillips
"The Matrix"
13-5
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
W
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
W
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. …
—
Blue corner
L1
Raoni Barcelos
22-6
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
9 fights · 6-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan
—
L
UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Tei…
—