Prelims1
Welterweight
Jeremiah Wells vs Carlston Harris
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font
·Bridgestone Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Jeremiah Wells
Carlston Harris
52%
48%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 2"
76"
37
Age
Δ 1y
36
14-4-1
Career record
Δ 2 pp
20-8
W4
Current streak
W1
4
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 3
Wells: 18 sig / 3 TD ·
Harris: 5 sig / 0 TD
Jeremiah Wells
Carlston Harris
18
Sig strikes landed
22
41
Sig strikes attempted
42
34
Total strikes landed
34
2.0
Takedowns landed
0.8
4.9
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
236s
Control time
97s
Method
Decision
34%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
30%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W4
Jeremiah Wells
14-4-1
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
74"
Stance
Switch
Age
37
In our database
4 fights · 4-0
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emm…
—
W
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov
—
Blue corner
W1
Carlston Harris
"Mocambique"
20-8
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalis…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—