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Tanner Boser vs Aleksa Camur

UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font ·Bridgestone Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Tanner Boser
Aleksa Camur
71% 29%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 2"
74"
32
Age
Δ 4y
28
22-12-1
Career record
Δ 3 pp
6-4
L2
Current streak
L2
9
UFC fights in our DB
3

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Boser: 120 sig / 0 TD · Camur: 68 sig / 0 TD
Tanner Boser
Aleksa Camur
67
Sig strikes landed
47
119
Sig strikes attempted
87
71
Total strikes landed
61
0.4
Takedowns landed
0.4
0.7
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
80s
Control time
79s
Method
Decision
58%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
8%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

Tanner Boser

"The Bulldozer"
22-12-1
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database 9 fights · 4-5
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. A…
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L UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
W UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov
—
L UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Tei…
—
Blue corner
L2

Aleksa Camur

6-4
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige
—
L UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa
—
W UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy
—