Back to UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac
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Volkan Oezdemir vs Bogdan Guskov

UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac ·Accor Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Toss-up Confidence: High
Volkan Oezdemir
Bogdan Guskov
49% 51%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 1"
76"
34
Age
Δ 3y
31
L1
Current streak
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12
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Oezdemir: 26 sig / 1 TD · Guskov: 8 sig / 0 TD
Volkan Oezdemir
Bogdan Guskov
54
Sig strikes landed
48
98
Sig strikes attempted
103
71
Total strikes landed
61
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.6
Takedowns attempted
3.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
103s
Control time
123s
Method
Decision
50%
KO/TKO
39%
Submission
11%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Volkan Oezdemir

"No Time"
21-9
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database 12 fights · 6-6
Last 5
L UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev
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W UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. As…
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L UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira
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L UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal
—
W UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The …
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Blue corner

Bogdan Guskov

"Hitman"
0-0
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31