Back to UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac
Main Featherweight

Morgan Charriere vs Manolo Zecchini

UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac ·Accor Arena
Previous fight Next fight

Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Morgan Charriere
Manolo Zecchini
64% 36%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 1"
68"
28
Age
Δ 1y
27

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Charriere: 26 sig / 0 TD · Zecchini: 9 sig / 0 TD
Morgan Charriere
Manolo Zecchini
39
Sig strikes landed
35
83
Sig strikes attempted
77
57
Total strikes landed
49
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.0
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
141s
Control time
131s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
39%
Submission
19%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Morgan Charriere

"The Last Pirate"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
Blue corner

Manolo Zecchini

"Angelo Veneziano"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27