Back to UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland
🏆 Title fight Main Middleweight

Israel Adesanya vs Sean Strickland

UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland ·Qudos Bank Arena
Next fight

Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Israel Adesanya
Sean Strickland
44% 56%
Why
80"
Reach
Δ 4"
76"
34
Age
Δ 2y
32
25-6
Career record
Δ 1 pp
32-7
W1
Current streak
W2
15
UFC fights in our DB
19

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 5
Adesanya: 94 sig / 0 TD · Strickland: 137 sig / 0 TD
Israel Adesanya
Sean Strickland
101
Sig strikes landed
94
222
Sig strikes attempted
208
99
Total strikes landed
96
0.4
Takedowns landed
1.0
1.6
Takedowns attempted
3.3
0.50
Knockdowns
0.30
61s
Control time
77s
Method
Decision
62%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
6%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Israel Adesanya

"The Last Stylebender"
25-6
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
80"
Stance
Switch
Age
34
In our database 15 fights · 13-2
Last 5
W UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2
—
L UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira
—
W UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier
—
W UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker…
—
W UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2
—
Blue corner
W2

Sean Strickland

32-7
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 19 fights · 14-5
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs.…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs.…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
L UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier
—
W UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—