Back to UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos
Prelims1 Women's Strawweight

Jaqueline Amorim vs Montserrat Conejo Ruiz

UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Jaqueline Amorim
Montserrat Conejo Ruiz
68% 32%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 7"
61"
28
Age
Δ 2y
30
11-3
Career record
Δ 16 pp
10-6
L1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
2

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Amorim: 86 sig / 1 TD · Ruiz: 6 sig / 1 TD
Jaqueline Amorim
Montserrat Conejo Ruiz
24
Sig strikes landed
31
60
Sig strikes attempted
55
56
Total strikes landed
58
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.9
3.0
Takedowns attempted
3.0
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
261s
Control time
300s
Method
Decision
59%
KO/TKO
13%
Submission
28%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Jaqueline Amorim

11-3
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2
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Blue corner
L1

Montserrat Conejo Ruiz

10-6
Career record
Height
60"
Reach
61"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. …
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W UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Ho…
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