Back to UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos
Main Women's Strawweight

Polyana Viana vs Iasmin Lucindo

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Polyana Viana
Iasmin Lucindo
27% 73%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 1"
66"
31
Age
Δ 10y
22
14-9
Career record
Δ 15 pp
19-6
W1
Current streak
W1
8
UFC fights in our DB
2

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Viana: 10 sig / 1 TD · Lucindo: 10 sig / 2 TD
Polyana Viana
Iasmin Lucindo
43
Sig strikes landed
49
115
Sig strikes attempted
127
61
Total strikes landed
65
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.5
Takedowns attempted
0.7
0.00
Knockdowns
0.20
91s
Control time
95s
Method
Decision
69%
KO/TKO
16%
Submission
15%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Polyana Viana

"Dama de Ferro"
14-9
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database 8 fights · 4-4
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
L UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira
W UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns
W UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic
L UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs.…
Blue corner
W1

Iasmin Lucindo

19-6
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
22
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. …
L UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz