Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Vicente Luque
Rafael Dos Anjos
63%
37%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 6"
70"
32
Age
Δ 7y
39
24-13-1
Career record
Δ 3 pp
33-17
L2
Current streak
W1
19
UFC fights in our DB
30
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 5
Luque: 72 sig / 8 TD ·
Dos Anjos: 66 sig / 2 TD
Vicente Luque
Rafael Dos Anjos
69
Sig strikes landed
54
149
Sig strikes attempted
93
92
Total strikes landed
85
3.7
Takedowns landed
2.1
3.1
Takedowns attempted
6.8
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
360s
Control time
237s
Method
Decision
63%
KO/TKO
19%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Vicente Luque
"The Silent Assassin"
24-13-1
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
19 fights · 14-5
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muha…
—
W
UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane
—
W
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Sh…
—
Blue corner
W1
Rafael Dos Anjos
33-17
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
39
In our database
30 fights · 20-10
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. H…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
W
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Dos…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Do…
—