Prelims1
Women's Bantamweight
Ashlee Evans-Smith vs Ailin Perez
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Ashlee Evans-Smith
Ailin Perez
23%
77%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 2"
66"
36
Age
Δ 7y
29
6-7
Career record
Δ 35 pp
13-3
L2
Current streak
L1
8
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Evans-Smith: 12 sig / 0 TD ·
Perez: 60 sig / 10 TD
Ashlee Evans-Smith
Ailin Perez
29
Sig strikes landed
44
75
Sig strikes attempted
91
36
Total strikes landed
73
0.3
Takedowns landed
1.6
1.4
Takedowns attempted
2.9
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
115s
Control time
197s
Method
Decision
49%
KO/TKO
31%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Ashlee Evans-Smith
"Rebel Girl"
6-7
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
8 fights · 3-5
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Ve…
—
W
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta
—
L
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2
—
L
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis
—
Blue corner
L1
Ailin Perez
"Fiona"
13-3
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
66"
Stance
Switch
Age
29
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuiva…
—