Back to UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov
Main Middleweight

Sean Strickland vs Abus Magomedov

UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Sean Strickland
Abus Magomedov
66% 34%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 2"
78"
32
Age
Δ 0y
33
32-7
Career record
Δ 4 pp
29-7-1
W1
Current streak
W1
18
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Strickland: 81 sig / 0 TD · Magomedov: 47 sig / 1 TD
Sean Strickland
Abus Magomedov
53
Sig strikes landed
69
120
Sig strikes attempted
145
52
Total strikes landed
57
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.7
1.3
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
61s
Control time
206s
Method
Decision
18%
KO/TKO
76%
Submission
5%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Sean Strickland

32-7
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database 18 fights · 13-5
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs.…
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L UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
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L UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier
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W UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
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W UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Stric…
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Blue corner
W1

Abus Magomedov

29-7-1
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuiva…
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