Main
Middleweight
Marvin Vettori vs Jared Cannonier
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Marvin Vettori
Jared Cannonier
75%
25%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 4"
78"
30
Age
Δ 10y
39
20-10-1
Career record
Δ 3 pp
19-9
W1
Current streak
W1
14
UFC fights in our DB
15
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 5
Vettori: 153 sig / 1 TD ·
Cannonier: 241 sig / 4 TD
Marvin Vettori
Jared Cannonier
84
Sig strikes landed
81
173
Sig strikes attempted
155
97
Total strikes landed
88
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.5
4.9
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
168s
Control time
49s
Method
Decision
62%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Marvin Vettori
"The Italian Dream"
20-10-1
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
In our database
14 fights · 9-4
Last 5
W
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuiva…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vett…
—
L
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Ho…
—
Blue corner
W1
Jared Cannonier
"The Killa Gorilla"
19-9
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
78"
Stance
Switch
Age
39
In our database
15 fights · 9-6
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
L
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier
—
W
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
L
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje
—