Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Kai Kara-France
Amir Albazi
51%
49%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 1"
68"
30
Age
Δ 1y
30
25-13
Career record
Δ 20 pp
18-3
L1
Current streak
W4
10
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 5
Kara-France: 99 sig / 2 TD ·
Albazi: 43 sig / 1 TD
Kai Kara-France
Amir Albazi
55
Sig strikes landed
45
128
Sig strikes attempted
116
71
Total strikes landed
59
0.4
Takedowns landed
1.9
0.9
Takedowns attempted
6.1
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
52s
Control time
195s
Method
Decision
62%
KO/TKO
27%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Kai Kara-France
"Don't Blink"
25-13
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
10 fights · 7-3
Last 5
L
UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Da…
—
W
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier
—
W
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya
—
L
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa
—
Blue corner
W4
Amir Albazi
"The Prince"
18-3
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
4 fights · 4-0
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
W
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards
—
W
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs.…
—