Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Takashi Sato
Themba Gorimbo
59%
41%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 4"
77"
33
Age
Δ 1y
32
16-8
Career record
Δ 3 pp
14-8
L3
Current streak
L1
6
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Sato: 30 sig / 2 TD ·
Gorimbo: 33 sig / 3 TD
Takashi Sato
Themba Gorimbo
21
Sig strikes landed
20
38
Sig strikes attempted
43
38
Total strikes landed
37
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.2
2.3
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
145s
Control time
112s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
37%
Submission
23%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L3
Takashi Sato
"Ten"
16-8
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
33
In our database
6 fights · 2-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Asp…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Ho…
—
L
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier
—
Blue corner
L1
Themba Gorimbo
"Mamba"
14-8
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Bl…
—