Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Aiemann Zahabi
Aoriqileng
42%
58%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 0"
69"
36
Age
Δ 6y
30
15-2
Career record
Δ 21 pp
27-13
W2
Current streak
W2
5
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Zahabi: 5 sig / 0 TD ·
Aoriqileng: 5 sig / 0 TD
Aiemann Zahabi
Aoriqileng
47
Sig strikes landed
53
107
Sig strikes attempted
97
59
Total strikes landed
73
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.3
Takedowns attempted
1.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
84s
Control time
74s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
46%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Aiemann Zahabi
"Icemann"
15-2
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Le…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. C…
—
L
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Brow…
—
Blue corner
W2
Aoriqileng
"The Mongolian Murderer"
27-13
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
W
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andr…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate
—
L
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2
—