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Carlos Ulberg vs Ihor Potieria

UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida ·Spectrum Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Carlos Ulberg
Ihor Potieria
58% 42%
Why
77"
Reach
Δ 2"
75"
32
Age
Δ 6y
27
16-1
Career record
Δ 22 pp
21-8
W3
Current streak
W1
4
UFC fights in our DB
2

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Ulberg: 13 sig / 0 TD · Potieria: 5 sig / 0 TD
Carlos Ulberg
Ihor Potieria
38
Sig strikes landed
31
76
Sig strikes attempted
75
47
Total strikes landed
34
0.5
Takedowns landed
0.2
0.6
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.40
Knockdowns
0.30
43s
Control time
36s
Method
Decision
20%
KO/TKO
70%
Submission
10%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W3

Carlos Ulberg

"Black Jag"
16-1
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira
—
W UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. …
—
W UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker…
—
L UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya
—
Blue corner
W1

Ihor Potieria

"Duelist"
21-8
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
27
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill
—
L UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2
—