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Anthony Smith vs Johnny Walker

UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida ·Spectrum Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Anthony Smith
Johnny Walker
58% 42%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 6"
82"
35
Age
Δ 4y
31
38-23
Career record
Δ 7 pp
23-10
L1
Current streak
W2
18
UFC fights in our DB
10

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Smith: 38 sig / 1 TD · Walker: 92 sig / 1 TD
Anthony Smith
Johnny Walker
26
Sig strikes landed
41
48
Sig strikes attempted
76
37
Total strikes landed
48
0.5
Takedowns landed
0.4
2.2
Takedowns attempted
0.7
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
95s
Control time
47s
Method
Decision
35%
KO/TKO
39%
Submission
26%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Anthony Smith

"Lionheart"
38-23
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database 18 fights · 11-7
Last 5
L UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2
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W UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann
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W UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2
—
W UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark
—
L UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic
—
Blue corner
W2

Johnny Walker

23-10 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
78"
Reach
82"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database 10 fights · 6-4
Last 5
W UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill
—
W UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson
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L UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill
—
L UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Wal…
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W UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. …
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