Main
Heavyweight
Jairzinho Rozenstruik vs Jailton Almeida
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida
·Spectrum Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Jairzinho Rozenstruik
Jailton Almeida
29%
71%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 1"
79"
35
Age
Δ 3y
32
16-6
Career record
Δ 9 pp
23-5
W1
Current streak
W4
11
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Rozenstruik: 0 sig / 0 TD ·
Almeida: 4 sig / 1 TD
Jairzinho Rozenstruik
Jailton Almeida
13
Sig strikes landed
27
30
Sig strikes attempted
50
16
Total strikes landed
51
0.0
Takedowns landed
1.5
0.0
Takedowns attempted
3.7
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
13s
Control time
183s
Method
Decision
24%
KO/TKO
59%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Jairzinho Rozenstruik
"Bigi Boy"
16-6
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
11 fights · 7-4
Last 5
W
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Roz…
—
L
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—
Blue corner
W4
Jailton Almeida
"Malhadinho"
23-5
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
4 fights · 4-0
Last 4
W
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill
—
W
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—